next solar cycle: article
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Just published on the Scientific American website is an article
explaining what we might see in the next solar cycle. Very interesting reading. See: www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa007&articleID=000301B5-B8CD-140C- B8CD83414B7F0000 73, Wayne N6KR --- http://www.elecraft.com _______________________________________________ Elecraft mailing list Post to: [hidden email] You must be a subscriber to post to the list. Subscriber Info (Addr. Change, sub, unsub etc.): http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/elecraft Help: http://mailman.qth.net/subscribers.htm Elecraft web page: http://www.elecraft.com |
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Wayne,
Thanks for a pointer to an interesting read. I was too busy with a divorce at the peak of the last cycle, but the previous one was sure fun. Since I like both HF and VHF/UHF weak signal this cycle has great promise. A good solar wind to energize, and the odd explosion to make AU fun on 2 and higher. The back end of the cycle could be even more fun for those of us who enjoy the higher bands ( ya just gotta love aurora). But since I have K2 #5226 running good DX, I hope for a *very* quiet solar minimum. I'm counting on my K2 to finish my 80m DXCC for my 5BDXCC. And perhaps the MOAA (Mother of All Amplifiers) to seal the deal. Regards, Joe N9JR PS - Think about a transverter for 903MHz. Instant sweetness. wayne burdick <[hidden email]> wrote: Just published on the Scientific American website is an article explaining what we might see in the next solar cycle. Very interesting reading. See: www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa007&articleID=000301B5-B8CD-140C- B8CD83414B7F0000 73, Wayne N6KR --- http://www.elecraft.com _______________________________________________ Elecraft mailing list Post to: [hidden email] You must be a subscriber to post to the list. Subscriber Info (Addr. Change, sub, unsub etc.): http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/elecraft Help: http://mailman.qth.net/subscribers.htm Elecraft web page: http://www.elecraft.com _______________________________________________ Elecraft mailing list Post to: [hidden email] You must be a subscriber to post to the list. Subscriber Info (Addr. Change, sub, unsub etc.): http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/elecraft Help: http://mailman.qth.net/subscribers.htm Elecraft web page: http://www.elecraft.com |
Re: next solar cycle: article
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Joe:
I'd be very surprised if you'd need the MOAA to work 100 countries on 80m. The K2 should handle it easily. Comment on solar activity: During my time at ORNL we were occasionally concerned with modeling the long term history of solar activity, and we noticed that the solar cycle is really a 22 year cycle rather than 11 years, with a fairly consistent pattern of a strong peak followed by a weaker second peak 11 years later. I was active in the 1978-83 period, and worked through that solar maximum. I made 5BDXCC in 1981 (DX on 80m is workable during high flux), but I did not hear fellow hams telling war stories about their spectacular results, as they did, for example, in the late 50s or early 90s. I was not active in the 90s, but I did notice that a lot of my ORNL buddies were telling war stories about their consistently spectacular DX on 10 meters in 1990-91. In contrast, although a lot of people are wondering when we'll hit bottom and head back up the hill, I do not hear any pining for the halcyon days of the early 2000s. I suspect that the last peak was soso. Thus, based on these anecdotal observations, I've been expecting big things for the next maximum. Evidently, the SA article reflects relatively recent insights into the internal solar forces driving sunspot activity. This suggests a causally-based model of sunspot activity, rather than simply curve fitting and extrapolation of historic data, as most researchers have done in the past. I'll be very interested in how their model holds up. 73, Steve Kercel AA4AK K2 S/N# 5383 At 09:46 PM 3/7/2006, Joseph Reed wrote: >Wayne, > > Thanks for a pointer to an interesting read. I was too busy > with a divorce at the peak of the last cycle, but the previous one > was sure fun. Since I like both HF and VHF/UHF weak signal this > cycle has great promise. A good solar wind to energize, and the > odd explosion to make AU fun on 2 and higher. The back end of the > cycle could be even more fun for those of us who enjoy the higher > bands ( ya just gotta love aurora). > > But since I have K2 #5226 running good DX, I hope for a *very* > quiet solar minimum. I'm counting on my K2 to finish my 80m DXCC > for my 5BDXCC. And perhaps the MOAA (Mother of All Amplifiers) to > seal the deal. > > Regards, > > Joe N9JR > > PS - Think about a transverter for 903MHz. Instant sweetness. > >wayne burdick <[hidden email]> wrote: > Just published on the Scientific American website is an article >explaining what we might see in the next solar cycle. Very interesting >reading. See: > >www.sciam.com/article.cfm?chanID=sa007&articleID=000301B5-B8CD-140C- >B8CD83414B7F0000 > >73, >Wayne >N6KR > >--- > >http://www.elecraft.com > >_______________________________________________ >Elecraft mailing list >Post to: [hidden email] >You must be a subscriber to post to the list. >Subscriber Info (Addr. Change, sub, unsub etc.): >http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/elecraft > >Help: http://mailman.qth.net/subscribers.htm >Elecraft web page: http://www.elecraft.com > >_______________________________________________ >Elecraft mailing list >Post to: [hidden email] >You must be a subscriber to post to the list. >Subscriber Info (Addr. Change, sub, unsub etc.): > http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/elecraft > >Help: http://mailman.qth.net/subscribers.htm >Elecraft web page: http://www.elecraft.com _______________________________________________ Elecraft mailing list Post to: [hidden email] You must be a subscriber to post to the list. Subscriber Info (Addr. Change, sub, unsub etc.): http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/elecraft Help: http://mailman.qth.net/subscribers.htm Elecraft web page: http://www.elecraft.com |
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Stephen,
I live in a very antenna challenged location. I have a Butternut HF6V on a tiny city lot with lots of obstructions in the near field. 80 is a challenge for me. And with the responsibilities of work and family I don't get to live on the radio. With the Mojo that comes with every K2 I expect you are correct that the K2\100 could get the job done next winter. But the MOAA could make it a lot easier. Plus I need to justify the MOAA with the XYL :) That said, there is a lot to say about the Butternut vertical. Of the 307 I have confirmed I worked 306 on the vertical. The only one I didn't was XZ and when I did the L4B blew the traps on the TA33. (I was max power at the time). 73, Joe N9JR "Stephen W. Kercel" <[hidden email]> wrote: Joe: I'd be very surprised if you'd need the MOAA to work 100 countries on 80m. The K2 should handle it easily. _______________________________________________ Elecraft mailing list Post to: [hidden email] You must be a subscriber to post to the list. Subscriber Info (Addr. Change, sub, unsub etc.): http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/elecraft Help: http://mailman.qth.net/subscribers.htm Elecraft web page: http://www.elecraft.com |
Re: next solar cycle: article
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Joe:
If you've worked 300+ with a loaded vertical, I tip my hat to you. While 100 countries on 80m with 100 watts and a loaded vertical is likely doable, I agree with you, it would be a notable feat. 73, Steve AA4AK At 06:38 PM 3/8/2006, Joseph Reed wrote: >Stephen, > >I live in a very antenna challenged location. I have a Butternut >HF6V on a tiny city lot with lots of obstructions in the near >field. 80 is a challenge for me. And with the responsibilities of >work and family I don't get to live on the radio. With the Mojo >that comes with every K2 I expect you are correct that the K2\100 >could get the job done next winter. But the MOAA could make it a >lot easier. Plus I need to justify the MOAA with the XYL :) > >That said, there is a lot to say about the Butternut vertical. Of >the 307 I have confirmed I worked 306 on the vertical. The only one >I didn't was XZ and when I did the L4B blew the traps on the TA33. >(I was max power at the time). > >73, >Joe N9JR > >"Stephen W. Kercel" <[hidden email]> wrote: >Joe: > >I'd be very surprised if you'd need the MOAA to work 100 countries on >80m. The K2 should handle it easily. _______________________________________________ Elecraft mailing list Post to: [hidden email] You must be a subscriber to post to the list. Subscriber Info (Addr. Change, sub, unsub etc.): http://mailman.qth.net/mailman/listinfo/elecraft Help: http://mailman.qth.net/subscribers.htm Elecraft web page: http://www.elecraft.com |
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